Why Trump’s nuclear negotiations with Iran can be much more successful than Biden

Dubai, United Arab Emirates – Negotiations between the US Presidential Administration Donald Trump and Iran’s government on the potential updated nuclear agreement began with a positive note last weekend, representatives of both countries said, despite the strong points concerning and the lack of clarity in specific conditions.

In particular, there was more optimism for the transaction and overall communication between long -standing opponents. Delegates from the United States and Iran have agreed to hold more negotiations next week in Rome, while the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs described the Saturday talks that took place in a “constructive atmosphere and is based on mutual respect.”

This emphasizes the outlook difference between the Biden administration’s attempts to revive the 2015 nuclear transaction and the position that Trump administration today will prove: one of the dramatically changed benefits for Washington and Much weaker and more vulnerable Iran.

“Iranians, I think, a little more desperate than they were in 2022, and they face a very weak economy,” said CNBC Gregory Brew, Senior Iran analyst and CNBC energy.

“Iran’s regional position has been significantly weakened. They are concerned about how much they emphasize that they can handle – their internal position, the situation with internal dissatisfaction will probably only deteriorate. Thus, they have an interest in getting the transaction sooner than later, and Trump gives them – either potentially giving them the opportunity to get such a deal.”

Biden was also restrained by public opinion, BRU noted, risking criticism to be “soft” in Iran. According to him, Trump does not face the same restrictions,-the president is already considered as an Iranian hawk and re-implemented the “maximum pressure” sanctions in the country shortly after entering the office.

Iran’s economy has deteriorated sharply During the years of Trump in 2018, the United States was withdrawn from a multi -storey transaction, officially named a joint comprehensive action plan or JCpoa. The agreement was envisaged in 2015 with Russia, China, the EU and the UK in the Obama administration to restrain and strictly control Iran’s nuclear activity in exchange for sanctions.

Already confronted with several years of protests, significantly weakened currency and crisis of life for Iranians, the Islamic Republic has suffered a hammer impact Loss of its main ally in the Middle East Last year, when the Assad regime collapsed in Syria. Archo-East Tehran Israel, meanwhile, has killed most of the top management of Hatsbala, Iran’s proxy in Lebanon.

Iran’s High leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei previously strongly opposed the negotiations with the US, but senior Iranian government official It was reported to have started coordinated efforts to change your mind, Equity of the decision as a critical for survival of the regime.

Trump made it clear that he would not take nuclear armed Iran. Recent years have raised bets: While Trump retreated from JCPOA, Iran enriches and accumulates uranium at the highest level, if -do, By prompting the International Nuclear Energy Agency, the United Nations Nuclear Caler issues numerous warnings.

“Iran remains the only nonsense of the weapon that enriches uranium on this level, causing considerable concern about the development of potential weapons,” but News From March 3 read.

Tehran insists that its program is intended only for civil energy In the 2015 nuclear transaction and a short technical step from the cleanliness level is 90%.

Trump has repeatedly warned of the US military response if Iran does not change the course to satisfy Washington.

“I would like the transaction to be made with Iran on the non-published one. I would like to bomb from it,” the US president said in an interview with the New York Post in early February.

This pressure has clearly influenced Tehran’s readiness to come to the table, says Ryan Bol, a senior analyst in the Middle East and North Africa in the Rane network.

“I think that Iranians are trying to develop a working basis that will continue negotiations that would prevent hostilities that President Trump certainly suggested in just a few months,” Bol said.

“Moreover,” he added, “the Iranian economy can use any proposal to improve the conditions on Earth, which in turn will improve public support for the Islamic Republic.”

However, specific parameters of the potential transaction are not yet discussed, and further negotiations will identify the degree of differences between each country’s position.

The main notable points are the fact that Iran does not want to give up its nuclear program – it is a red line for Tehran, its leaders said. But exactly what the program, which can actually be, the Trump administration is ready to demonstrate the flexibility until Iran is actually a bomb.

The following negotiations will have to reveal Trump’s conditions that were still kept under the wraps.

“Ultimately, I believe that the key to these negotiations has always been around what the US is in relation to Iran,” Nadar Itim said on Monday, Mideast Gulf editor in Argus Media Media.

“Do the US seek to completely disassemble the Iranian nuclear program, or is it a purely question to just provide a check to make sure there is no weapons of this program?”

“I think Donald Trump has been very clear in the last two, in particular for three weeks: without armed weapons. Weapons are a red line,” Itim said. “Iranians can work with this – they always claimed and said that we were not after nuclear weapons. So, it was a good starting point.”

Deep distrust remains between the two sides, and Iran Hox – in particular, the US ally Israel – dissatisfied with the fact that negotiations are underway and oppose any potential flexibility from the Trump administration.

On Wednesday, a few days before US Iranian talks in Oman Trump said Israel would become a “leader” of any potential military strike against Iran if his government did not give up nuclear weapons.