Why China did not mind closure of the Strait of the Mountainuz

As on Saturday, US bombs and missiles on the Iran-Jodar-jogging areas between Israel and Iran-Pekin appear to be firm in supporting its long-standing ally in Tehran.

However, its support will be tempered by limited Heft as a Peace Broker in the region, and the potential up when oil points squeeze the US more than they have harmed Beijing.

In recent years, Beijing has approached Iran, and two countries have regularly cooperated Military exercises and signing A 25-year strategic partnership in the field of economic, military and security In 2021.

Iran’s population is almost 91 millionMuch more than 9.8 million people in Israel in conjunction with rich crude oil reserves made it a natural partner in Chinese initiative on the belt and roadWhich Global Times, the mouth of the Government in Beijing, described as a way to “confront the American hegemony”.

China’s main economic interest is to access Iran’s oil and Hormuz Strait, which is one of the most important trade routes for world oil flows.

About 20 million barrels a day of crude oil, or a fifth of global consumption, passed through the Strait in 2024, according to the US administration of energy information. Half of oil imports in Beijing moved along the key route – using A The system of handling to bypass the western banksDelivery services and transactions that are assigned to Yuan to avoid launching sanctions.

China is likely to retain its “Hands from Iran anyway,” said Neo van, heading the Chinese economist and strategist at Evercore ISI, due to limited influence on Israel and its strategic calculation on Washington’s intervention.

Beijing, involved in a trade war with the US, can find value in any chaos in the Middle East, which “will become greater distraction to Washington,” Van added.

China promised to support Iran in the “Defense of its National Sovereignty” shortly after it was Agent Israel June 12, which Beijing condemned as “violation of Iran’s sovereignty, security and territorial integrity”.

But despite the fact that the initial support of Iran, Beijing’s rhetoric has moved to become more measured without grabbing Israel’s military action but but but Focused on brokerage dialog and ceasefire.

Chinese Foreign Minister Van Yi told his Israeli colleague The phone call that Israel’s strikes were “unacceptable” but refrained from the “condemnation” comments.

In another sign of the Beijing set of its rhetoric, the press secretary of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of China said on Monday that it is in the overall interest of the international community to maintain stability in the Persian Gulf and the surrounding waterways.

Beijing greatly avoided “direct condemnation of Israel, remaining diplomatically leveled with Iran,” stated that an advisory firm on the political risks of the Eurasia group’s analysts as it seeks “to hold tension and prevent the conflict over a wider region – which can affect its economic and strategic interests.”

US Secretary of State Mark Rubio on Sunday called on China Excuse me Iran from the closure of the Strait of Mountains.

While many expect Beijing to do this, some have offered a blockade of the oven for China because it is better prepared for a blow to absorb than the US and the European Union, and that China can easily turn to other sources of alternative oil.

According to the Energy Information Administration, Main Sources of Oil in China They are Russia, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, Iraq and Oman, although a considerable part of Malaysia’s exports are actually transferred or transferred from Iran.

Robin Brooks, a senior employee of the Brookings Institute, said “China would be pleased to see a great splash of oil prices if it destabilizes the US and Europe.”

Feeling this opinion, Andrew Bishop, the head of policy research in Global Advisors, said: “China cannot be one that pays more than oil from other sources if this means the United States suffers even more.”

Iran’s Parliament on Sunday supported the decision to close the Strait until the final approval by the National Security Council. Who sent oil futures More than 2% higher in early Asia. US WTI is rough grew more than 2% to $ 75.22 a barrel and global landmark Brent It amounted to almost 2% at $ 78.53 a barrel.

While at the Chinese Ambassador Fu Congo had sharp words for the USA A meeting of the UN Security Council On Sunday, Fu also nominated Israel and urged to stop fire immediately and stop the hostilities.

Although China appears to promote stability in the Middle East, it can benefit from the US participation in the conflict.

American strikes on Iran “handed over to China an important conversation: it is America, not China, which threatens worldwide and peace,” said Shakhzad Kazi, director of the Chinese book.

In China, he may hope to act as a peacemaker, based on the mediation of a peaceful deal between Iran and Saudi Arabia in 2023. Beijing caused reconciliation as a victory for Chinese diplomacy and a sign that Beijing became a major energy broker in the Middle East.

But Israel is likely to be skeptical of China’s neutrality as a mediator because of his coordination with Iran and interaction with Hamas, an ally of Iran, who attacks Israel in October 2023, and the US Empirement opportunities, analysts said.

“China has not suggested that the conflict did not propose to Iran any significant support.