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As the cricketing world turns its gaze to the World Trials Championship (WTC) final scheduled for June 2025 at Lord’s, the recent Boxing Day Test has significantly altered the qualification landscape. Australiaemphatic 184-run victory India not only did it give them a 2-1 lead Border-Gavaskar Trophy 2024-25 but they also increased their chances of reaching the WTC final for the second time in a row. With both teams vying for a place, the question arises: what if India and Australia end up with the same points?
A crucial final Test for India
India’s hopes of retaining the Border-Gavaskar Trophy hinge on their performance in the next Test in Sydney, scheduled for January 3-7, 2025. India currently sit on 114 points in the WTC rankings , and needs a win to take his total to 126. points from a possible 228. That would result in a points percentage (PCT) of 55.26%, crucial for your qualification. hopes A draw or loss, however, would eliminate them from contention entirely.
READ also: Team India’s complete schedule till IPL 2025: England series, Champions Trophy and more
Australia’s road to victory
Australia, on the other hand, currently have 118 points and can secure a maximum of 154 points if they win all their remaining matches. Even if they lose to India in Sydney, their fate will still depend on their next series against Sri Lanka. If Australia lose to India and Sri Lanka win by a score of 2-0 or 1-0, India could overtake Australia in the rankings.
The scenario of identical points
The scenario where both teams end up with identical points (126 each) is plausible. This would happen if India win in Sydney while Sri Lanka draw their series against Australia. In this case, both teams would end up with a PCT of 55.26%. WTC rules state that if teams are tied on points, the team with the most series wins advance. Both teams would have three series wins each, which would require more tiebreakers.
Decisive factor of the tiebreaker
In the event of a points tie and series wins, the next deciding factor is the percentage of points earned in away games. India’s away record includes two Tests at the West Indies (1 win, 1 draw), two innings south africa (1 win, 1 loss) and five in Australia (2 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw), giving them a total of 56 out of a possible 108 points (51.85% win percentage). By contrast, Australia’s away performance includes five Tests England (2 wins, 2 losses, 1 draw), two tests new zealand (2 wins) and two Tests in Sri Lanka (2 draws), giving them a total of 60 points out of 108 (55.56% win percentage).
With the stakes so high, cricket fans eagerly await the conclusion of this exciting series and the subsequent matches involving Sri Lanka and Australia, it is clear that each match will be of monumental importance for both India and Australia.
