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What are the obstacles to Europe’s peace plan for Ukraine?

Frank Gardner

Security correspondent, BBC NEWS

The Zelenskaya epoch, sitting in front of the Ukrainian flag, resting the chin on the hand, looking deeply in thoughtEpa

Whatever words are used to create plans arising from the Sunday summit, 19 mainly European leaders in London – ceasefire, truce or peace – big problems.

UK Prime Minister Kire Starmer, together with French President Emmanuel Macron, hope this will eventually bring a lasting peace to Ukraine.

In the heart lies what calls Sir Kire “Coalition of those who want”Those who will help guarantee the peace in case of reaching the transaction.

But what obstacles – and how easy it is to overcome?

Can Europe collect sufficient containment?

First, can the European armies and semi-empty arsenals gather anything, approaching significant restraining forces for deployment in Ukraine? Which countries, except the UK and France, will be ready to send forces to such an uncertain scenario, given doubts about the US support?

President of Ukrainian Alodimir Zelensky said he would need international force Up to 200,000 troops Maintain a ceasefire along 600 mile (960 km) contact line between two opposition armies, Russia and Ukraine.

Although this figure is wildly optimistic, the Ukrainian leader is right in assessing how much it takes to act as sufficient holding for any future Russian invasion.

In reality, Europe will fight to come up with even a third of such quantity, the effect of decades of destruction of its fighters, years after the cold military peace should end.

Air energy would be decisive. This is both known as ISR (intelligence, observation and exploration) and for repulsion of any future Russian invasion.

There is no point in having a UK troops sitting on a ceasefire, when thousands of Russian troops and armored vehicles are overflowing through a 100 mile gap and there are no adequate funds for their scaring.

The United States has a huge ability in signal exploration, Siginto, as well as air-air refueling, without which pure European force will fight. A recent report of the London Analytical Center of the International Institute of International Affairs (IISS) states:

“Europe’s hope for Washington’s military capabilities, especially important stimulants, such as ISR and air-air refueling, will make” independence “a major problem without serious investment in these areas.”

It is still said: “The US also makes more than half of the NATO fighter jets and fighters.”

In short, it would be extremely difficult to gather reliable deterrent to protect Ukraine, if not impossible, without a military reserve copy.

Is it possible to persuade Trump to provide the US?

See in full: excellent exchange between Zelensky, Vens and Trump

Donald Trump likes to say that he does not start wars, he stops them.

The last thing he wants to do now is to make us combat troops and air energy to the conditional unstable ceasefire that can invade the shooting that drags NATO’s strength.

Instead Stop the deal directly with Russian President Vladimir Putinone on one.

Sir Keira’s goal is to make Europe a reliable offer of ceasefire, which can then be presented to President Trump in hope – and I would emphasize the word “hope” – that he agrees to provide provision American Military rear pad.

So far it looks unlikely.

Will Russia bring it?

Putin's Reuters gestures when he says sitting at the Kremlin tableReuters

Why on Earth? – Some argue.

His ground forces win on the battlefield, though for a terrible price in human life, and Ukraine is all, but lost its greatest ally in this war: the United States.

Without the military support of America, Ukraine will severely restrain Russian troops in the east and southeast. Without US patriots, his cities will be even more vulnerable to mass missile attacks.

President Putin has always made it clear that the presence of NATO troops in Ukraine would not accept. Now that it effectively has an ally in the White HouseHe is even less likely to give way to the moment when President Trump cannot offer him a serious incentive.

The essence of all this is that the Kremlin did not abandon its maximistic purposes for Ukraine, which will eventually return the whole country to Moscow’s orbit, replacing Zelensky with a rigid, pro -Russian puppet.

At a minimum, it is unlikely to reduce its basic requirements, so that Ukraine is constantly inferior not only to the territories that Russia already occupies – in Kherson, Zaparitzhia, Donetsk and Luhansk – but also gives the adjacent cities of Kherson and the Cavenions, forcing hundreds of thousands of residents of Ukraine.

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