What about the political crisis of France and what can happen next?

The French Prime Minister Francois Bayra intends to lose confidence in his leadership, in the last turn during the chaos within the National Assembly.

The 74 -year -old Bayer is the fourth prime minister, two years under President Emanuel Macron, whose second term is an office, was obscured by political instability.

Minority government has called for 44 billion euros (£ 38 billion) to reduce the budget for France’s state debt and is now being disrupted.

The BBC looks at what has led to this political crisis and what could happen next.

In June 2024, French President Emmanuel Macron accepted gambling.

Faced with the blue losses for his party in the voices of the European Parliament, he called the decorative parliamentary elections, which he hoped to reach “the obvious majority at rest and harmony.”

Instead, this led to a postponed, divided parliament, which buried any Prime Minister to receive the necessary support for the adoption of bills and the annual budget.

Macron appointed Michel Barnier last September, but within three months a man who agreed on Brexit in the EU was on the street – the shortest period after the fifth Republic of France began.

Bayra should postpone the same fate, just under nine months as he came to post last December.

Meanwhile, some parties – mainly in the far right and extreme left – continue to turn to the early presidential elections.

Macron has always said that it would not come to an end in 2027.

Instead, he will probably have to choose between the appointment of the fifth Prime Minister in less than two years – who risks again to work at borrowed time – or calling for parliament elections, which could lead to an even more hostile national assembly.

There are several good options for the president, as the consequences of his June 2024 Gamble continues to talk.

The key issue of Bayer is the debt crisis of France, and he, he said, is the need to reduce the government’s costs to go to a catastrophe for the next generations.

Simply put, the French government spent more money for decades than it created. As a result, you need to borrow to cover your budget.

The French government says that in early 2025 the state debt amounted to 3 345 billion euros or 114% GDP.

This is the third largest state debt in the euro area after Greece and Italy, and equivalent to almost 50,000 euros per citizen of French.

Last year, the budget deficit was 5.8% of GDP, and 5.4% is not expected this year. Thus, public debt will continue to grow if borrowing cover the deficit.

France – like many developed states – is facing the demographic headache of the elderly – less workers are taxed and more people who attract the state pension.

Bayroup is among those French politicians who want to reduce the deficit by rethinking generous social programs – for example, state pensions.

In his speech in Parliament on Monday, Bayer told about the country about “support of life” and admired the costs.

Two years ago, France raised the retirement age from 62 to 64 for those born in 1968 or afterwards, and Bair warned that the feeling that French workers could stop working in the early 60’s.

However, there is a lot of confrontation with further cuts. The predecessor’s government has fallen into confidence in December last year.

Politicians on the left called for taxes rather than reducing the budget.

If, as expected, Bayra loses the vote at the National Assembly earlier this evening, then France is probably heading for another period of doubt, drift and speculation.

Perhaps President Emmanuel Macron will soon appoint a new Prime Minister – it is definitely in the interests of the country that he will do it.

But practicality-and precedent-bodies believe that this may be a process.

Macron must find a name that is not allowed to at least some parliamentary opposition that they will not automatically lead him or her.

The first two PMS in this muddy parliament – Barnier and Bire – took weeks to find. The third will not be easier.

At the same time, the Bayer is supposed to remain as head of the government.

There is pressure from some quarters – in particular, the national maritime foam action – for the new abolition of the Assembly and the parliamentary elections. But there are also strong voices that say it will be a waste of time because the new vote is unlikely to change.

In addition, there are also voices – from a long backline this time – calling for Macron’s resignation as president. But don’t look this space. Knowing the character of this person, it is unlikely to happen.

When the bire drops, the pressure on Macron will be strong to call the successor to the left. The last two were from the right and the center, and the left alliance went out in the 2024 election.

Olivier troutThe leader of the Socialist Party would be one of the opportunities. At the age of 57, the National Assembly has a group of 66 deputies.

Two other opportunities on the left is Former Prime Minister Bernard Kazenand veteran Ex-Minister Pierre MuscovitesCurrently, the head of official accounting Cour des Comptes.

If Macron decide to follow the center and correctly, its first choice would have been Sebastien leakna, 39The current Defense Minister, who is a member of the Macron Renaissance and said he was close to the president.

Another Conservatives whose name was mentioned is the current Minister of Labor and Health, Catherine Vatrin.

Two other opportunities from internal government Minister of Internal Affairs Bruno Retalawho now leads Republicans, and Minister of Justice Herald Darmanin.

But with all the looks in the 2027 presidential election, would these heavyweight kiss the kiss that will be the next Prime Minister Macron?