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Ukraine: What Trump does next is key

Volodimir Zelensky gave a cautious and diplomatic response to the proposal at the end of Vladimir Putin’s night in Istanbul next Thursday.

The Ukrainian leader is expected to launch his opposite number in Moscow for not making a 30-day ceasefire, as demanded by Kiev and his Western allies on Saturday.

Instead “A positive sign that the Russians finally began to consider the end of the war”.

Zelensky added that Ukraine hoped that Russia would confirm that it would perform the proposed 30-day ceasefire starting on Monday.

It is difficult to say whether Zelensky views Putin’s proposal as a “positive sign”. This is as much about optics as everything else.

Neither Putin nor Zelensky want his US President Donald Trump to be an obstacle to peace.

Trump’s reaction was noticeably lifted. Writing about his social platform before, he hinted once again that this war was close to the end. He wrote: “Potentially a great day for Russia and Ukraine!”

Putin said he wanted to refer to what he calls the “root cause of the conflict”.

From his point of view, this means that Ukraine’s unacceptable ambition is part of the prosperous, democratic Europe, not to return to Moscow’s orbit and become a cruel, satellite nation like Belarus.

He also wants to firmly start Ukraine never join NATO.

On Saturday, Moscow demanded that the West should stop arming Ukraine before the ceasefire.

This, of course, will leave this country much less able to reflect on Russia’s gradual progress on the frontline – or, worse, a new full -scale offensive to take more land.

The fact that Ukraine badly needs its allies is a continuous flow of air protection to reflect on the growing number of drones and missiles that are conducted across the common border in Kiev and other major cities.

Shortly after the dawn on Sunday, we were woken up by the air raid, and the sirens left because more Russian drones were launched.

On May 9, the US Embassy in Kiev issued a warning to its citizens that there was a “significant risk of air raids” in the coming days.

One of the biggest problems is that the Kremlin can launch another Oresshnik ballistic missile, as in the one that its forces were released at the Dnipro plant last November.

At its speed, it approaches 10 times the speed of sound, Russia can boast that this rocket “does not stop”.

So now, the key question is what Trump is doing next – and it can go anyway.

He could decide that his opposite number in Moscow simply inflated him, finding one excuse for one to disagree the ceasefire.

Or, given his historical warm relations with Putin, he will throw a Russian leader a diplomatic lifeline and put pressure on Ukraine instead of sitting in Istanbul and listening to Moscow’s demands, regardless of whether a ceasefire will come on Monday on Monday?

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