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Such a combination of images created on April 9, 2025 shows us that the Messenger in the Middle East Steve Witkoff after meeting with Russian officials at the Car, in Eriyady, Saudi Arabia, February 18, 2025 (L); And Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Arakhchi, who spoke at AFP during an interview at the Iranian Consulate at Jedde on March 7, 2025.
Evelyn Hokstein | Amer Different | AFP | Gets the image
Dubai, United Arab Emirates – Oil prices arise At night on geopolitical issues, when US President Donald Trump sharply impressed a more negative tone over the progress of nuclear negotiations with Iran and announced the exit of US staff from the Middle East.
“They (the US military) move because it can be a dangerous place and we will see what will happen … We have reported relocation,” he told reporters on Wednesday.
The Pentagon ordered the withdrawing troops and insignificant staff from embassies in Baghdad, Kuwa and Bahrain.
Speaking over the podcast with the New York Post, Trump accused Tehran of “delay”, calling him “shame”.
“Now I am less sure what I would be a couple of months ago. Something happened to them,” he said about Iranian representatives.
The president previously warned that the US or Israel could carry out air strikes aimed at Iranian nuclear facilities if negotiations did not pass. He added that his administration would not allow Iran to have nuclear weapons.
In response, the Iranian Defense Minister expressed his hope for negotiations, but warned of military retaliation when everything went south.
“It will not come to this, and the negotiations will give results. But if they do not, and the conflict will impose on us, the enemy’s loss will undoubtedly be greater than ours,” Iran said. “In this case, America will have to leave the region because all its bases are within our reach. We have access to them, and without hesitation we will focus on all of them in the countries.”
On Thursday, the Council of the IAEA Governors of the UN Nuclear Nuclear Caler made a resolution announced by Iran for the first time in the nuclear guarantee.
Developments note a large shift after several rounds, mostly indirect US and Iran conversations, which were previously called “positive” and “respect”. Tehran accused Washington of he is not serious in his participation and does not respect Iran’s right to enrich Uranus for insisting, it is peaceful goals.
Currently, the US Messenger in the Middle East Steve Witcoof should meet with Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Arachci on Sunday for further discussions.
The number one barrier
Both Trump administration and Iran say they want deals. For Trump, this will lead to a political and diplomatic victory, which Baden’s previous administration has not reached. For Iran, this will mean that the sanctions that have crippled its economy are desperate.
Number one holds? Inner enrichment of uranium in Iran, which can be used to obtain nuclear energy for peaceful purposes – or building a bomb.
Initially, having shown flexibility to enrich Uranus at lower levels for nuclear electricity, Trump changed the tune, saying that everything that goes beyond zero enrichment in the country is unacceptable.
This is a tough violation of transactions for Tehran, which requires the right to a civic nuclear energy program. Iran claims that this is the right under the nuclear non -proliferation treaty to which it joined in 1970, and allowing non -nuclear arms to build peaceful nuclear energy programs.
But concerned with many intentions of Iran. According to the Obama nuclear transaction, 2015, officially called the joint comprehensive action plan (JCPOA), Iran sought to limit the 3.67% of Uranium enriched by 300 kilograms to maintain a civic nuclear energy program.
But the enrichment of uranium in Iran reached 60% of the cleanliness, according to the IAEA, a higher level, which is in a short technical step from the arms level of 90%.
“The country, enriched by 60%, is a very serious thing. Only countries that make bombs reach this level“,” said IAEA leader Rafael Grosi in 2021.
So, what will happen further, and how high is the risk of military conflict between the US or Israel, and Iran, a country with 93 million people, which is almost four times the size of Iraq?
Preparing for confrontation
Israel looks ready to attack Iran, According to messages Referring to us and European officials. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu pressed Trump to allow strikes, and the US president said in late May that he had warned Netanyahu from Iran’s attack while negotiating with Washington was underway.
From now on the tension has grown. Several analysts who are from CNBC say the military confrontation can still be provided – as long as it is provided. Some believe that recent partial evacuation orders are part of the pressure choreography before the upcoming conversations of the United States and Iran.
Despite the fact that Trump publicly states that any Iranian internal enrichment is a red line, swimming a number of options that would provide a kind of “compromise” for Tehran.
This includes the US proposal to join the regional nuclear consortium, which will allow it to continue enriching uranium at a low level, while making zero enrichment at some point in the future, and it would see it with a motball – but not to dismantle its nuclear objects.
In the photo taken on November 10, 2019, Iran Bushera’s Iranian flag was shown during the official ceremony to start work in the second reactor.
Atta Kenare | AFP via Getty Images
But the US proposal “is a number of ideas than a specific plan, and at the moment looks incapacitated,” Gregory Breav, Senior Iran and EUROSIA Group wrote in the note.
“Even if Iran is allowed to enrich the intermediate basis, it does not accept an agreement that does not ensure this right to eternity.”
In addition, the Iranians “are also very annoyed by the fact that the US has not been significantly dealing with the help of sanctions,” Brev said. “They ask for an explanation on this issue; Iranians are, of course, mostly interested in the transactions that bring sanctions to their economy.”
The fact that Iran openly threatens to directly strike on US assets in the region when the attack is attacked, is extremely significant, reports the couple, executive vice -president of the Responsible static ship.
This is largely because Iran’s missiles opened for a hit in Israel last October, “in fact they were quite effective,” CNBC said “Access to the Middle East” on Thursday.
“If there is a confrontation, and when the Iranians have committed their threats to orientation to US bases, it will eventually become a very devastating confrontation,” Parsi said.
“And Trump’s supporters from his own base are very worried that he will threaten his entire presidency on this issue if there is a diplomatic transaction in reality.”
