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Trump tariffs can cause summer economic downturn: Chicago’s Fed

Business owners and managerial directors are already accumulating inventory, and some US buyers have Panic Big Ticket items Awaiting the President Donald Trump Tariffs. Sudden buying a binge drink can cause “artificially high” level of economic activity, said the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Oriental Goulsby.

“Such a preventative purchase is probably even more pronounced on the business side,” Goulsby said on Sunday CBS “face the nation,” adding: “We have heard a lot about the preventive creatures that could last 60 days, 90 days if there were more uncertainty.”

Enterprises of stocks and Consumers speed up their purchase decisions – Purchase Apple Let’s say the iPhone now, say, instead of waiting for autumn – may inflate the US economic activity in April and lead to a slowdown in the coming months, Goldby suggested.

“The activity may look artificially high in the original one, and then the summer can fall – because people bought it all,” he said.

The sectors affected by the Trump tariffs, especially the car industry, are likely to accumulate inventory before importing goods from other countries that will potentially increase further, Golsby said. For example, in China, numerous car details, electronic components and other consumer elements of large tickets, which currently face 145% of the total tariff rate on goods imported in the US.

Trump tariffs on belonging to other countries Currently, they are in the mid-90-day pause, and 10% of the base rate, instead resort to all imported goods. The pause should end on July 9, with Trump who advertises a number of talks on the rate with foreign leaders henceforth.

“We do not know that in 90 days, when they revised the tariffs, we do not know how big they will be,” Gulsby said.

Some business owners in the US buying goods manufactured in China say they can no longer afford to place inventory orders. Matt Rolens, Owner and CEO of Granite Bay, California says that temporarily holds its products in China Because the payment of 145% of Levi would make it increase consumer prices by at least 50%, probably sending customer demand.

Rollens has enough inventory in the US to hold on to about June, and hopes the tariffs will still be sent back, he said CNBC to do so on April 11.

Short -term uncertainty and financial pain in Baku, the Fed Fed expressed optimism about the country’s long -term economic perspective.

“When we can survive this, it is important to remember: the tough data coming in April were quite good. The unemployment rate (was) around stable full employment, inflation (was) declining,” he said. “It’s just a desire for people who express they do not want to return to 21 and 22, at a time when inflation really raged out of control.”

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