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Kishor Mahbuban, former Singapore Ambassador to the United Nations, and David Adelman, a former US Ambassador to Singapore, at CNBC Converge Live on Thursday, March 13, Singapore.
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According to a veteran of the Singapore diplomat Kisho Mahbuban, US President Donald Trump is theoretically “very negative about China”, he may be ready to make a “big trade business”.
In fact, it is more likely that the Trump administration is contracts with China compared to the Biden administration, former Singapore’s former Ambassador to the United Nations said.
While Mahbuban noted that Trump “should be more anti-Chinese” if the Trump administration may assure Beijing that he would not insist on Taiwan’s independence, it could smooth negotiations on a trade transaction between the two countries.
“If Trump is able to force China to open its market, accept more US exports and may even invest more in the US, then you can have a win-win trading deal,” he said.
“The Chinese clearly want to conclude from the United States as well. They do not want this competition to continue,” Mahbuban added.
Speaking in the same panel, former US Ambassador David Adelman to Singapore said “China has an important share in US economic success.”
Adeleman noted that the US is the largest market for Chinese goods, and the country’s consumer is still the most powerful in the world. But Chinese consumers are becoming richer, which gives the opportunity for American manufacturers.
As for trade, Mahbuban believes that there is a “structural displacement of power to Asia”, citing The main speech Made by Deputy Prime Minister Singapore Ghana Kim Yong in Converge Live.
Gan said that the Asia’s alleged economy will expand with approximately 50% of the global domestic product by 2030 to about 60%.
Adeleman drew attention to the Southeast Asia region, calling it mainly a “collection of neutral countries.” He noted that these are countries that use the military support of America, having strong economic ties with China, which is the largest trading partner for all southeastern Asian countries.
Those who “do not bring to the” nations “enjoyed the benefit of US security,” having the opportunity to “take advantage of China’s economic growth,” Adelman said.
But Trump and, to a lesser extent, Chinese President Xi Jinping seems to push southeastern Asian countries to choose between the two states, which causes “very interesting dynamics,” Adelman said.
However, over time, “the United States and China will realize that in their interest to try to work with regions such as southeastern Asia,” rather than forcing them to choose a side, Mahbuban said.
“So everyone wants to keep their options open. And this is the world tomorrow that you will see. It’s all understanding what the best way to survive is to keep your options open,” he said.