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EU and US flags fall near the military center for Ukraine, in Yassia, southeastern Poland on March 6, 2025.
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In the US and the European Union, there is not enough time to make a transaction on trading tariffs – and analysts say several key points can make the agreement impossible.
Negotiations are slow because both the US and the EU are temporarily reduced to each other by July 9. If not yet agreed Full mutual tariffs on imports 50% on EU goods and block Widely describes countermer Installed to take effect.
“We are talking, but I do not feel that they still offer a fair cause,” said US President Donald Trump on Tuesday that even more decisive hopes for a quick agreement.
So that keeps things between the two parties that had a relationship worth 1.68 trillion euros ($ 1.93 trillion) in 2024?
One of the bones of the disorder indicated by experts was the EU regulation of special large technology companies. The block faced regular criticism from the US after the introduction of significant rules for the technological giants regarding transparency, competition and moderation.
“The Trump administration is actively seeking to use trade negotiations to force the EU to capitulate and weaken the normative environment,” said Albert Rizzi, an employee of the European Foreign Affairs Council, CNBC.
“However, Europeans are unacceptable for Europeans to interfere with digital platforms and will resist its commitment to fight misinformation and the language of hatred,” he added.
Philip Luck, Director of the Program on Economics of the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) repeated the problems, but said the EU could potentially surrender some soil without undermining their principles.
But the parties “have not yet reached this level of conversation,” he said.
Taxes are another major sphere of differences between the US and the EU, Ritzi said, noting that Trump views tariffs as accounting for allegedly unfair taxes transferred to US companies and goods by European countries.
These include the so -called value -added taxes, or VAT, which is charged at each stage of the supply chain as a change in the value of the product. Although very common worldwide, the US does not work with VAT, and Trump has exposed it as a trading barrier – and justification for tariffs.
“However, the tax and foreign goods with the EU value added is almost the same and in the eyes of Europeans, is a purely internal question that should not be part of any trade discussion,” Ryzia said. “Taxation is a red line for the EU in trade discussions.”
A much broader question between Washington and Brussels is a fundamental lack of trust and leveling negotiations and their goal.
Jacob Kirkegaard, the senior employee of the International Economy Institute Peterson, went so far, saying that “there is only one point that is that Trump wants the EU tariff and the EU does not have it.”
The luck of the CSIS has inflicted a similar tone, stating that in the philosophical terms the US and the EU have great different views that are negotiating.
“This (USA) Administration views these negotiations through the lens how partners can gather a concession to help us. They do not view it as a traditional mutual trade conversation where we give something and they give something,” he explained.
According to him, the EU has a much more traditional view, as its offer of tariffs for zero zero faced a retreat from the White House.
European politicians are “proud people who think of themselves as equal in the United States” who cannot make “permanent” concessions, and do not feel they should, good luck.
The US is unlikely to accept the zero zero agreement to zero or the one where tariffs are reduced for both parties, Lac said.
Also doubtful that the EU can provide such a deal as the UK that agreed to certain quotas and tariffs in some critical sectors.
All because, first, the block is most likely not to accept similar conditions with the UK, luck is added, but “because in this (US) the administration has much greater, such as fundamental complaints about European politics.”
However, he sees a scenario when the EU can agree with a smaller tariff, for example, by 10%, but only because it is necessary.
Riesa also suggested that a “limited transaction that scale or freezes tariffs into certain sectors may occur.” But, he noted, this does not mean that a broad agreement is inevitable.
Others are even more pessimistic.
“I am very skeptical that there will be a deal,” said Kirkegaard, who is also a senior employee of Bruges.
“I think it is much more likely that there is no deal, then the EU is beyond, and then we will have to see if Trump is doing what he was doing with China: that he revenge again, and perhaps the EU again revenge.”
He warned that the de-escalation- and the transaction can only be possible if a certain, very high threshold of economic pain would be fulfilled.