Russia fears another loss in the Middle East from Iran’s conflict with Israel

When Israel launched Rising Lion surgery, officials in Russia described the current escalation in the Middle East as “alarming” and “dangerous”.

However, Russian media quickly emphasized potential positives for Moscow.

Among them:

• Increasing the global oil prices is forecast to enhance Russia’s cash desk
• Distracting global attention from the war in Russia to Ukraine. “Kyiv forgotten” was a title in the Moscow Komsomelets
• And if the Kremlin’s proposal to mediate in the conflict, Russia could reflect itself as the main player in the Middle East and as a peacemaker, despite his actions in Ukraine

However, the continuing the Israeli military operation, the greater the realization that Russia can lose a lot from current events.

“The escalation of the conflict has serious risks and potential expenses for Moscow,” Russian political analyst Andrei Corronto wrote on Monday at Business Daily Kommersant.

“The fact remains that Russia has not been able to prevent a massive hit by Israel in the country with which a comprehensive strategic partnership signed.

“Obviously, Moscow is not ready to go beyond political statements by condemning Israel, Iran is not ready to provide military aid.”

The Russian-Iranian transaction on strategic partnership, which Vladimir Putin and President Masud Pescin signed this year, is not a military alliance.

This does not oblige Moscow to come in defense of Tehran.

At that time, however, Moscow talked about it.

In an interview with RIA Novosti news agency, Foreign Minister Syarhei Lavrov noted that the agreement drew “special attention to the strengthening of coordination in peace and security at the regional and global levels, as well as Moscow’s desire for closer cooperation and protection.”

Over the last six months, Moscow has already lost one key ally in the Middle East Bashar Assad.

After the Syrian leader was overthrown in December last year, he was offered asylum in Russia. The prospect of changing the regime in Iran, the thought of the loss of another strategic partner in the region is raising a serious concern in Moscow.

Commenting on the events in the Middle East on Tuesday, the Moscow Komsomelet concluded: “In world politics, mass changes are now taking place in real time that will affect life in our country or directly or indirectly.”

Vladimir Putin will spend most of this week in St. Petersburg, where the city holds an annual international economic forum.

Once the event was called “Russian Davos”, but the label is not actually distributed now.

In recent years, the main executives of large Western companies have remained in Baku-more that a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

However, the organizers claim that representatives of more than 140 countries and territories will be present this year.

The Russian authorities will almost certainly use the event to try to demonstrate that attempts to isolate Russia in Ukraine could not.

The economic forum may be, but geopolitics never happens far.

We will closely watch any comments that the Kremlin leader makes about the Middle East and Ukraine.