Offer Mediation of Kashmir Donald Trump puts India in a tight place

For decades, when there is one thing that was a taboo in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of India, this is the third mediation-personal dispute with Pakistan over Kashmir.

Those who know, are not surprised that US President Donald Trump, known for his non -Orthodox diplomacy, touched on Delhi’s raw nerves.

On Saturday, he went to social media to report that India and Pakistan – after four tense days of cross -border contractions – agreed to the “complete ceasefire” held by the United States.

Later, in another message, he said, “I will work with you to find out if you can come to the decision in a thousand years.”

Kashmir’s dispute goes back to 1947, when India gained independence from British government and was divided into the creation of Pakistan. Both neighbors claim that the Kashmir region is completely, but it only introduces it partially.

A few rounds of bilateral conversations have not been resolution for decades. India views Kashmir as an integral part of its territory and eliminates any negotiations, especially through the third party.

The last outbreak began after India conducted air strikes that it called a terrorist infrastructure in Pakistan after an attack on tourists in Kashmir, headed by Indian, last month, died 26 people, mostly tourists.

India accuses Pakistan of participating in the incident, a charge refusing Islamabad.

Trump’s interference took place because the fight between two rivals of the nuclear armed armed threatened threatening spirals in a full conflict.

Both sides used fighters, missiles and drones and said they were aimed at each other’s military installations, mainly in the border areas.

While American mediators as well as diplomatic prevented a greater wishPresident Trump’s proposal put Delhi in place.

“Obviously, this would not be welcomed by the Indian side. This is against our stated position for many years,” the former Indian Foreign Minister says.

Delhi’s position in Kashmir was hardened, especially after she had withdrawn the special status of Jamm and Kashmir in 2019, causing broad protests in Kashmir.

President Trump’s latest comments have caused many Indians who view this as an attempt to “internationalize” the Kashmir dispute.

The main party of the opposition Congress wanted explanations of the government and a comprehensive meeting on “the ceasefire announcements made from Washington for the first time”.

“Did we open the door for mediation on the third side? The Indian National Congress would like to ask if diplomatic channels would be restored between India and Pakistan,” said Congress spokesman Yire Ramsh.

US Secretary of State Mark Rubio statement Announcing the ceasefire, they also stated that both countries also agreed “to start negotiations on a wide set of issues in a neutral place.” This surprised the Indians.

Delhi refused to discuss Islamabad, accusing his neighbor of supporting what he calls cross -border terrorism.

Historically, India has emerged against any third mediation, quoting the agreement signed in 1972 after the war between the two countries a year earlier. According to the SIMLA agreement, signed by the leaders of the country, they “decided to settle their differences in peacetles through bilateral talks.”

Indian officials also claim that even when they reached an understanding with the civilian government in Pakistan, powerful military operations in the country have launched these deals. They point to Cargill war in 1999, when another conflict between the two countries began after a group of militants supporting Pakistan occupied strategic areas in Kashmir, which launches India.

The conflict took place a few months after the then Prime Ministers of India and Pakistan agreed to solve problems through bilateral talks and refrain from interfering on each other’s internal issues.

The government of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has not officially responded to the proposal of President Trump on mediation.

But Foreign Minister Subrachman Yashankar said: “India has consistently supported a firm and uncompromising position against terrorism in all its forms and manifestations. This will continue to do it.”

This is regarded as a sign that India cannot restart direct bilateral talks.

The view from Pakistan is different.

“Pakistan always wanted the third mediation in the issue of Kashmir in the absence of mutual trust between the two countries,” says BBC Imtiaz Gul, Executive Director of the Center for Research and Security in Islamabad.

“Now the superpowers are ready to stick the neck. Pakistan sees it as a moral victory,” says Mr. Gul.

Pakistani strategic experts, such as Saed Muhammad Ali, claim that the international community must enter into the consistent refusal of India in dealing with Pakistan to avoid the future conflict.

“Kashmir-one of the most important issues for the international community. The last fast escalation proves that the sabotage can get out of hand,” says Mr Ali.

The urgent diplomacy of India, especially since Modi took over in 2014, was considered as a sign of his trust as a growth of world economic force.

But he will have to remove the tough balanced act to get rid of Trump’s achievements.

In recent years, the United States has entered India as a bulldo against more persistent China. India is a key member of the four-year security dialogue (Quad), as well as the United States, Australia and Japan, which was created to combat Chinese expansion in the Indo-Pacific region.

In recent decades, Washington has also sold modern transport aircraft, helicopters and other military equipment in Delhi, seeking to modernize its 1.4 million strong military personnel, which are heavily relying on Russian weapons.

Previous US administrations knew about India’s sensitivity to the Kashmir issue and remained largely away from the intervention in it. But with Trump, there is a question about whether this position takes.

The US is the largest trading partner of India with bilateral trade, reaching about $ 130 billion (98 billion pounds) in 2024. The Modi government is currently negotiating a trade agreement with Washington to avoid tariffs.

Delhi will have to walk in a thin line. It will be unfavorable to accept Trump’s proposal to meditate either to see the American ceasefire, or “understanding” as it calls it, going beyond the current military tension. But it also seeks to have favorable trade relations with the US.

Any attempt to expand the negotiations – on controversial bilateral issues, such as now suspended the river contract for water distribution or the status of Kashmir – invite strong criticism at the internal level, a trap that Modi is well aware.