Iran is experiencing Israel’s attack

“Israel’s operation”, as he calls his attack on Iran, is unprecedented. This is much more widely and ambitious than anything that came earlier, including two missile and drone exchanges that were conducted with Iran last year. For Iran, this is the biggest attack on its territory after the Iran-Iraq war 1980-1988.

In the darkest hours before dawn Israeli air force is directed not only at Iran’s nuclear -related sites, but also by the country’s air defense and the ballistic missile base, which reduces Iran’s ability to avenge.

On the ground and in the shade, a network of operatives working in Mosad, a foreign intelligence agency of Israel, helped to determine the exact location of the key figures both in the military command and in nuclear scientists.

Those who are killed over the night include the head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard of Iran (IRGC), the guardians of the Islamic Revolution, who overthrew the Shah regime in 1979, as well as the head of the main armed forces and the head of the IRGC Air Force. Iran says at least six of its scientists have been killed.

Once again it is shown that the spy Agency of Israel has successfully penetrated the heart of the Iranian security institution, proving that there is no one there.

Iran’s state television reported that 78 people were killed and said civilians, including children, were among the dead. (This is an unofficial figure and was not independently tested.)

Mossad was reportedly able to launch the drones from the inside of Iran as part of the attack. The main goals of all this operation were nuclear enrichment in the Natants and the IRGC base. For Israeli military planners, this has long been.

Iran is filled and it can only be the first wave. The list of Israel’s hit -list will have much more potential goals, although some may be on the borders of its reach, buried deep underground in heavily under a solid rock.

So what led to this attack Israel and why now?

Israel and a number of Western countries suspect that Iran is secretly working on what is called a “breakthrough”, which means a return point in the development of viable nuclear weapons.

Iran denies this and has always insisted that its civic nuclear program – which received assistance from Russia – is intended for fully peaceful purposes.

For more than a decade, Israel has tried with varying degrees of success to slow down and return Iran’s nuclear progress. Iranian scientists were mysteriously killed by unknown attackers, a military leader of the nuclear program, Brig-Gen Fakhrizade, who was killed by a distance machine gun on a single road near Tehran in 2020.

Before that, the US and Israeli cyber -Siou were able to insert a devastating computer virus, codonomed Stuxnet, in Iran’s centrifuge, which made them get out of control.

This week, the UN Nuclear Power Agency (IAEA) has found that Iran violates its non -proliferation commitments and threatens him to the UN Security Council.

Many problems with the Iran’s nuclear program result from its high -enriched uranium (HEU) reserves, which is enriched to 60 percent, which is far from the level required to create civilian nuclear energy and a relatively short jump to the level required to create a bomb.

There was a transaction to stop Iran’s nuclear program. It was concluded in 2015 during the Obama presidency, but Donald Trump called it a “worst deal in the world”, and when he entered the White House, he pulled out of this US. The next year Iran stopped performing it.

No one outside Iran wants the Islamic Republic to have a nuclear bomb. Israel, a small country with most of the 9.5 million population concentrated in urban areas, views nuclear armed Iran as an existential threat.

This indicates numerous statements by senior Iranian figures calling for the destruction of the Israel. Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the Arab Gulf States do not care very much about the revolutionary regime of Islamic Islamic Republic of Iran, but they learned to live with this neighbor.

Now they will be very nervous about the risks of this conflict that extends to their own shore.

For Israel, the terms were decisive. Iran has already been weakened by an effective defeat or elimination of its proxies and allies in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza. Following the attacks in October, after the attacks in October in October, Israel was greatly compromised last October.

The White House has a pretty president, and finally Israel is reportedly afraid that some key equipment for uranium enrichment are going to move deep underground.

It is clear that Israel wants this operation: it is at least aimed at returning Iran’s nuclear program for years. It is desirable that he want to stop it at all.

In military, political and reconnaissance circles there will also be many, which will hope that this operation can even weaken Iran’s leadership that it is generally falling apart, introducing a more benign regime that no longer pose a threat in the region. It may be desirable to think on their part.

On Friday, President Trump said Iran’s “second chance” would agree to the deal. On Sunday, the sixth round of the US and Iran talks took place in Muscat, but Israel did not create large shops at these negotiations.

Just as Russia is accused of holding Trump on peace talks with Ukraine, Israel believes that Iran is doing the same.

Israel believes that this is the best and perhaps the last chance to kill the suspect in the Iranian nuclear weapon program.

“Israel’s unprecedented strikes across Iran have been developed to destroy President Trump’s chances to make a transaction to maintain the Iranian nuclear program,” says Eli Granmai, a senior employee of the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR).

“It is clear that their (attacks) terms and large -scale nature were intended to completely disrupt the negotiations.”

Washington went on a certain length to pass on Iran that he did not participate in this attack. But if Iran decides to avenge any of the many US bases in the region, either directly, or through its proxy, that is, the risk that the United States may delay another conflict in the Middle East.

Iran’s High leader Ayatollah Ali Homena promised the “brutal punishment” for Israel, but Iran today is in a much weaker position than two years ago, and its revenge variants are limited.

However, there is even more risk here. Israel’s operation can still occur by causing nuclear weapons race.

Hardline Hawks at the Iranian Security Institution has long claimed that the best restraint against future Israeli attacks or the United States will buy a nuclear bomb. They took note of the various fate of leaders in Libya and North Korea.

Colonel Libya Gaddafi abandoned the 2003 mass destruction program; Eight years later he was dead in a ditch, overthrown by Arab spring protests, which were supported by Western air.

Unlike this, North Korea did not succumb to all international sanctions to create a formidable arsenal of nuclear warheads and intercontinental ballistic missiles, it is enough for any potential striker to think twice.

No matter what the final damage does not result from Israel’s operation, which increases the lion when Iran’s regime survives – and it is not a chance earlier – then there is a risk that it will now accelerate its race before construction and even checking a nuclear bomb.

If this happens, it will almost inevitably cause a nuclear weapon race in the Middle East, and Saudi Arabia, Turkey and perhaps Egypt, everything they need.

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