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This week, two types of history dominate the chatter.
Favorite water cooler? Antics of high -profile executives, with Departure boss nestle over undisclosed case with subordinate and resignation CEO Suntory over possible purchase of illegal substances Both cause excitement in London and Singapore.
But what retained the news was the most lively, there was a bond market that could well be thrown next week. Over the past few days we had many guests who shared their views on some of the most significant steps of the yields observed in the gilding market in the UK and across Europe for decades.
And more can become next week …
Confidence or lack of confidence is a matter
France is at the epicenter of the uncertainty of the European bond.
On Monday, the government will be confident in the government, called Prime Minister François Bair – and the ruling party will almost certainly lose.
Photo by Cuellar | Flickr | Gets the image
France’s rivals Jesumiz, the National Action and the Socialist Party claim that they will vote against the government. This is the perspective of President Emmanuel Macron, who called the election, although he will most likely seek to appoint another government government.
In the straw -survey Nomura found that government bond yields – or oats – will need to be moved even more to cause a “great loss of confidence in international investors”. In the note, the bank pointed to the next review of France’s sovereign debt rating, which is due on September 12, as a key date for viewing.
ECB to remain “intentionally uninformative”
Another moment of the spout this week will come when the ECB will meet on Thursday amid the increased volatility of the market.
It is expected that the Central Bank will keep the stakes 2%and HSBC predicts that President Christina Lagarde will support the Dovish shift. The ECB itself emphasized the need to remain “deliberately uninformed against future interest rates” in the July account of its political meeting.
Observers about the market expect the logard to question the uncertainty in France during its press conference, but economists predict that it is avoiding the answer directly.
Economic data:
Monday: German trade data
Tuesday: French data on industrial production
Thursday: US inflation data
Friday: German language inflation given by GDP GDP
