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BBC Check
Russia has doubled the number of drones and missiles that fired Ukraine, as President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January, discovered the BBC analysis, despite the ceasefire.
The attacks have already increased under former President Joe Biden in 2024, but rose sharply after Trump’s victory in November. Ever since he returned to the post in January, he recorded air attacks from Moscow.
Throughout the company, Trump has promised to put an end to the fight only in one day when he returned to office. During his campaign in 2024, he claimed that a complete invasion of Russia could be provided if the president, whom the Kremlin respected.
However, in his efforts to reach the ceasefire, he is accused of returning from Russia critics, and his administration stopped supplying air defense ammunition and other military affiliations to Ukraine.
The pauses – announced in March and July and since the abolished president – came when Russia invariably increased missile and drones. According to Ukrainian military intelligence, over the last year the construction of a ballistic missile in Russia has increased by 66%.
The data considered by the BBC Verify – on the basis of daily reports on incidents issued by the Ukrainian Air Force – showed that Russia launched 27 158 ammunition between January 20 – when the Trump presidency – and July 19 compared to 11 614 over the last six months of Biden.
“This fierce war was accepted by Joe Biden’s incompetence, and it lasted too long,” said the White House Deputy Secretary Anna Kelly in a statement on the BBC Verify.
“President Trump wants to stop killing, and so he sells weapons to US -made NATO member and threatens Putin with biting tariffs and sanctions if he does not agree to ceasefire.”
Within a few weeks, the new administration has issued a number of warm statements, which seem to be designed to delay President Vladimir Putin to resolve. During this period, Russian attacks on Ukraine have not long fallen compared to the last weeks of the Biden administration.
But by February, when US diplomats led by Secretary -General Mark Rubio met with the Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s delegation to the Eriyad summit, the attacks began to rise again.
Negotiations which, according to Rubio, were the starting point to end the war, accompanied mediated discussions between Ukrainian and Russian officials In Turkey.
The attacks reached the maximum at the beginning of last month, when Moscow launched 748 drones and missiles towards Ukraine on July 9, Ukraine’s Air Force reports. There were more than a dozen people As reported.
While Trump repeatedly expressed anger on the escalation of Russian attacks, his disappointment did not seem to have an impact on Moscow’s strategy.
On May 25, Russia launched its then recorded veil, pushing Trump with anger to ask, “What happened to him (Putin)?”
Since then, Russia has exceeded the number of registered launches 14 times. Trump replied demanding this The Kremlin reached a peace treaty with Ukraine by August 8.
It seems that the number of Russian ammunition penetrating Ukrainian air defense is increasing, and the explosions around the Kiev capital become daily parts of life for residents of the city.
“Whenever you go to bed, you don’t know if you are going to wake up the next morning, and it’s just not the usual way to live,” said journalist Dasha Volk, who lives in the city in June.
“Every time you hear an explosion or a flying rocket over your head, a lot of thoughts are experiencing in my head – I will die now, such things.”
Senator Chris Kuns, Senior Democrat of the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said the BBC to make sure Trump’s decision would suspend weapons’ supplies and his wider approach to Russian relations, perhaps the Kremlin that he had freedom to increase the attacks.
“Of course, Putin feels increased by Trump’s weakness and increased his vicious attack on the Ukrainian people, repeatedly attacking hospitals and maternal chambers, a Ukrainian network and other civil places,” he said.
The growing attacks have resumed calls for the US to send fresh affiliations of patriots against the air to Ukraine. Patriots are the most capable and expensive air defense systems that Ukraine has. Each Patriot battery costs about $ 1 billion (£ 800 million), and each rocket costs almost $ 4 million.
Trump canceled previous pauses and agreed to sell weapons to NATO members, who, in turn, put them in Kiev. It seems Trump means that the transaction will include fresh batteries “patriot”.
Justin Branak, an analyst who focused on the Russian military at the Royal Institute of the United Services (Russia), said that restrictions on the supply of military equipment imposed by a white home made Ukraine “vulnerable” to missile and unmanned attacks.
But he also noted that Russia increased the production of missiles and the so-called Kamikaze drones, such as the Geran-2-Somnic version of Iranian Shabada. Mr. Bronk said that Russian reserves combined with “significant decline” on the delivery of US interceptor missiles encouraged Moscow to strengthen its air campaign.
Recently, in Ukraine (military intelligence agency (HUR) said that Russia produced up to 85 ballistic missiles per month, compared to April 44, 2024.
Russia is reportedly producing 170 Gen drones a day, creating a large -scale production facility in Alabuz in the south.
In a recent interview with Russian military television, the director of the facility Timur Shagivaleev boasted that Alabuga became “the world’s largest combat production”, adding that his workers produce nine times more units than expected.
Satellite images show that the facility has expanded significantly since mid -2014, with a number of new compositions built on the site.
Other structures, including what seems to be expanding for workers’ dormitories, remain in the construction stage.
Senator Kuns warned that the increase in production meant that Washington should make it clear that he was not preparing to move away from the conflict, as some administration officials threaten what he can do, emphasizing that peace could only be achieved through “promoting security”.
He added that President Trump should make it clear to Russia that it “could not just try to survive the West.”
“In order to do this, he needs to maintain a consistent and sustainable position against the war.”
Meanwhile, Ms Volk said that every day the Russian company is going on, and Ukrainian interceptions fall into public morality.
“People get tired of these attacks, they really affect our lives,” she said.
“We know what we are fighting for, but every year it becomes more difficult because everyone is required. That’s the reality.”