Chinese August factory activity wins the estimates, expanding at the fastest pace in 5 months

Dressing staff for an online Chinese e-commerce company Temu at a clothing plant in Guangzhou, in the South China province of Guangdong on April 16, 2025.

Jade Gao | AFP | Gets the image

Production activity in China unexpectedly returned to growth in August at the restoration of new orders and export, a a private survey Showing on Monday, which helped an extended truce trading from the US

The index of production production managers came at 50.5, cutting out the estimates of 49.7 from the economists surveyed by Reuters.

The sensor signaled the highest expansion speed since March, jumping from July 49.5. Reading below 50 reduction signals and one above which the threshold involves an extension.

The improvement was partially due to the restoration of new export orders, which indicates “resistance to external demand before tariffs,” Zichun Juan, Chinese Capital Economics, said in the note. Profit in total production and new orders was more muted, indicating a “slight improvement in domestic demand,” Juan added.

The average raw material costs have increased at the fastest pace in nine months, which made some businesses to transfer higher costs to consumers. The average prices for sale stabilized after eight months of decline, the survey showed.

Beijing sought to restrain the excess power, and the price wars, which were raised in the industrial sectors that weighted in the bottom line of the enterprises.

Given this, the income trend interpreted from the PMI data showed only a slight recovery and remain under pressure overall, Yao Yu, founder of RatingDog, said in the message.

While the overall confidence in the business improved, the employment in the production sector remained gloomy, the survey showed because the owners of the business remained careful with the personnel schedule, reducing jobs for the fifth consecutive month.

“The last lift resembled a relief breathing rather than a stable action,” said Yu, warning of a stable weak domestic demand, “potentially overwhelmed external orders,” and slow revenue restoration.

“The strength of the improvement depends on whether the export really stabilizes and whether the domestic demand can gain pace,” Yu.

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The results of the private poll were still more raised than the official reading published on Sunday, which showed that production activity decreased by the fifth consecutive month in August, which came to 49.4 compared to 49.3 in July.

The PMI unproductive index, which covers services and construction, has expanded to 50.3 in August from 50.1 in the previous month.

Private surveys tend to draw a better picture than official surveys over the previous years of stronger exports. Private survey covers A smaller party with more than 500 mainly -focused exports Firms, while the official PMI inspects a larger sample with more than 3000 companies mainly at the top.

India sends signal to the US that it will not be perceived for granted: Michael Fromn, Michael Frgn, CFR

Export growth in China beat expectations In recent monthsTo a large extent, the attraction of delivery to Southeast Asia and European countries, while deliveries to the United States decreased by four in a row.

In recent months, Chinese authorities have launched leaders from Southeast Asia, Central Asia, European and Latin American

Speaking at the annual meeting of foreign leaders – including Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi – in Tianjin on Monday, Chinese President Xi Jinping called on the Shanghai Cooperation States deepen trade and investment and reject the “Cold War mentality”.

Earlier this month, Beijing and Washington expanded their tariff truce for another 90 days, keeping steep duties in fear, recording about 57.6% on Chinese goods and 32.6% tariffs, reports Petterson’s International Economics Assessments.

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