As Trump’s threats revived the Liberal Party in Canada

If you asked the Canadians a few months ago, who would win the next universal elections in the country, most predicted the decisive victory of the Conservative Party.

This result does not look so right now.

Following the threat of US President Donald Trump against Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudu Liberal Party came out in the election, reducing two-digit leading rivals since mid-2023.

The dramatic change in the country’s political landscape reflects how Trump’s tariffs and its repeated calls make Canada “51 state”, fundamentally changed the priorities of Canada.

Trump’s rhetoric “pushed all other issues” that were for the Canadians before his inauguration on January 20, Luke Turgen, Professor of Political Science in Ottawa, said.

He even managed to revive the once deeply unpopular trude, whose approval level has risen by 12 points since December. The Prime Minister, of course, will not be in power for much longer, announcing resignation at the beginning of the year.

On Sunday, his liberals will announce the results of the management competition to determine who is taking over a party that rules the unstable minority government. The new leader will have two direct decisions: how to respond to Trump’s threats and when calling the general election. The answer to the first dilemma will certainly affect the second.

The federal election must be held on October 20 or before, but they may be called this week.

Polls show that many Canadians still want to change at the top. But what these changes would look like – the liberal government under the new leadership, or the complete transition to the conservatives – now anyone guesses, says Greg Lale, president of the innovative research group based on Toronto, who interviewed the Canadians on its changes.

“It was still an explosion for conservatives,” he says the BBC.

Precisely because the right -wing party’s right party led by Pierya Paylieur was effective in its posts on issues that have occupied the Canadian psyche over the past few years: the growth of life, the inaccessibility of housing, crime and a tense health care system.

Poilievre successfully linked these public problems with what he outlined the “catastrophic” trudade policy, and promised to return to “common sense”.

But with Trud’s resignation and Trump’s threats, Canada’s economic security and even its sovereignty have become unchanged, Lale says. His poll believes that most countries are most afraid of the Trump presidency and the influence he will have on Canada.

25% of Trump’s tariffs for all Canadian imports in the US, some of which have been suspended by April 2, may be destructive to Canada’s economy, which sends three -quarters of all its products to the United States. As a result, the officials predicted up to one million work losses, and Canada could enter the recession if the goods tax is retained.

Trudu had no doubt how serious he perceived the threat when he told reporters this week that Trump stated the reasons for tariffs in the US – the stream of Fentanyl across the border – was false and unjustified.

“What he wants to see is a complete collapse of the Canadian economy because it will facilitate us joining,” the Prime Minister warned.

“In many ways, this is all that covers the fundamental issue of the country’s survival,” says Professor Turgen BBC. Anyone who best stands for Canada against Trump became a key issue in the upcoming election.

Conservatives are still ahead at polling stations, and the latter indicate that 40% of voters supported them. Meanwhile, the liberals were revived, with the support rose to just over 30% – by 10 points since January.

Liberals tried to highlight the similarity between the conservative leader and the Republican president. Last week, the candidates called Puliver as “our small version of Trump here” in managerial discussions and stated that he was trying to “imitate” the US president. Liberal party attack ads Compared clips from using similar phrases For example, “fake news” and “radical left”.

However, there are obvious differences between two politicians, in terms of style and substances. Trump himself humiliated any parallels, telling the British magazine in a recent interview that Poilievre “is not enough”.

However, surveys suggest the slipping of conservative support. A recent poll of Angus raid poll shows that the Canadians believe that the liberal leadership leadership Mark Carney is better equipped to combat Trump on tariffs and trade than Puliver.

The former Central banker both in Canada and England advertises his experience with economic crises, including the 2008 financial disaster and Brexit.

And the shift in the political mood forced the conservatives to list their messages.

If the election will soon be summoned, the company will take place at the moment when Trump’s threats inspired severe patriotism among Canadians. Many have boycotting American goods In their local grocery stores or even canceling trips to the US.

Professor Turgan says this “rally around the flag” became a key topic of Canadian politics.

The conservatives departed from their “slogan” Canada “, which, according to Mr. Lail, risked as” anti-patriotic “, to” Canada first “.

Conservatives also redirected their attacks towards Karni. Before Trump’s tariffs, they carried out advertising, saying that he was “like Justin”, trying to tie it to the trud. But in recent weeks, the Conservatives have begun to dig the loyalty to Karni to Canada.

In particular, they questioned whether it plays a role in the movement of the Brookfield Asset Management headquarters – the Canadian Investment Company – from Toronto to New York when he held the chairman.

Karni replied that as long as the decision was made, he left the company, but the documents of the company reported by the CBC community complaining that the council approved the move in October 2024, when Carney was still in Brookfield.

Carney’s step and extraordinaryness about him was criticized by the editorial board of the National Globe and Mail newspaper, which wrote on Thursday that Carney should be transparent with the Canadians.

In general, the document wrote: “Each party leader must understand that Canada is included in the long period of uncertainty. The next prime minister will have to urge the Canadians to govern the country where it should go, but may not want to go.”

Given the alarm that is reflected in the Canadians, Mr. Lale says that any ambiguity about Karni’s loyalty to the country can still harm him and the liberals.

Whenever the elections come, and the one who wins is sure: Trump will continue to influence and remodel Canadian politics as in the United States.