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Cambodian BM-21 Many launchers are returning from the Cambodian-Thai border when on July 24, 2025, the Cambodian and Thai troops exchanged fire in the new Pravo Vicis.
Str | AFP | Gets the image
Analysts can adversely affect tourism, but Cambodia is more vulnerable, but Cambodia is more vulnerable.
Both countries exchanged fire across the border in several areas on Thursday after weeks of kicking tensions, with Less than 11 civil deaths.
Tourism is a significant economic engine for both countries contributing About 12% and 9% To the gross domestic product of Thailand and Cambodia, respectively in 2024.
Thailand got More than 35 million tourists in 2024While Cambodia He welcomed 6.7 million.
“Thailand, where tourism … maintains a large segment of labor, remains highly exposed to the perception of instability,” said the Srepenji Sreperji on Friday, an observer employee.
She said that even short -term unrest near the border could lead to warnings about tourist warnings and blur confidence in tourists, which “particularly damaged the year when Thailand is engaged in a strong recovery under the guidance of tourism.”
But although tourism is less contributing to the gross domestic products of Cambodia, it would be “misleading” to assume that the country is less vulnerable to interruptions in the sector, Bnergi said.
“Unlike Thailand, Cambodia has fewer policy tools like tourism promotion councils, large-scale fiscal reserves or reliable social security networks to cover the blow,” she added.
Sights-whose artillery fire and Thailand, which mobilizes f-16-coming after Thailand reminded of his ambassador On Wednesday, the Cambodia Messenger in Bangkok was kicked out on Wednesday.
This was the answer to another The Thai soldier was allegedly injured by mines along the controversial area, with Both sides lowering their diplomatic relations.
Bangkok claimed that mines were recently laid by Cambodian troops though Cambodia has Declined claims.
The latter escalation was caused by the murder of the Cambodian soldier on May 28 in the so -called “emerald triangle”, the controversial region, where the borders of Thailand, Cambodia and Laos are found.
Cambodia more losing?
Analysts have acknowledged a negative economic impact that can tension in Thailand, but agrees to the weak position of Cambodia.
The conflict will have a “minimal impact” on the Thailand economy, since the country’s tourist areas are far from border strikes, said Joshua Kurtonik, a senior employee of Southeast Asia and South Asia in the Foreign Relation Council.
He noted that the vast majority of tourism is concentrated in areas such as Bangkok and Chiang May.
According to the travel site HolidaymakerBangkok and Phuket were two regions in Thailand, which received the most tourist income in 2024. Bangkok is about 260 kilometers from the border, and Phuket is even further.
Kurlanian said that he would lose more in Cambodia, noting that the country is already considered as more unstable and dangerous than Thailand, and does not have a large database that Thailand uses.
Similarly, Kasm Pronatanamas, Head of the Thai study at CGS International Securities (Thailand), said CNBC on Friday that the Cambodia tourist sector will be more affected.
All because Cambodia has a “significant” number of Thais crossing the border to play Cambodia, which can no longer happen from the closure of the border, he said.
On the other hand, “Thai provinces near the Cambodia border are usually not tourist destinations, even for domestic travelers,” he added.
As a conflict may occur
United States, an ally of Thailand, contract, – said at the beginning of Friday What it was “seriously concerned” and called for an immediate end to hostilities.
But it may be difficult. Chansambath Bong, Ph.D. Candidate for Strategic and Defense Research Center at Australian National University noted that the deployment of heavy military platforms such as F-16 militants in Thailand and BM-21 Cambodia in these skirmishes, “testifies to a higher intensity than before, if not, effectively ”.
Thai Army – Note The Facebook report is that Cambodia used BM-21 missile systems in the conflict.
Bong also noted that “nationalism in both countries is on” fever “, which makes both sides very difficult to find impassable and military de -escalation. He really says that the damage caused by the fighting can push both parties to consider mutual de -escalation.
But Baneerjee Orf is more optimistic, saying that although a long military confrontation cannot be ruled out, a large -scale escalation remains unlikely. “Both Thailand and Cambodia have strong economic and political incentives to avoid a sustainable conflict.”
However, it warns that while past conflicts indicate a possible de-escalation, the current regional climate complicates the prospect of rapid permission, citing tensions in the South China Sea and Myanmar crisis.
