Political hostility for the fight

Cambodia and Thailand have a history of random conflicts.

Both countries share a long and forest border with the areas claiming both sides. In the past and 2008 and 2011, serious exchanges of fire occurred – 40 people saw the skirmishes on a similar scale.

However, they were de -escaped relatively quickly.

More recently, after the incident in which the Cambodian soldier was killed, both sides seemed to try to prevent more violence when the meetings between the commanders of the army from each country are aimed at mitigating tension.

But on July 24, it broke out. Thai authorities say 12 people, all civilians, were killed.

Cambodia has not yet confirmed whether she had suffered any victim.

So why did this particular border clash – which began after a five Thai soldier’s injuries occurred on Wednesday – spread to something much more?

Relations between the two countries deteriorated dramatically last month when Cambodia’s senior leader Hong Saint was deeply embarrassed by Prime Minister Thailand Polegacor Shinovattra, tracing the conversation between them about the controversial border.

In a conversation, he called him a “uncle” and criticized one of his own military commanders, causing the anger of society. Since then, it has been rejected as a prime minister, and the Thai Constitutional Court has been considering dismissal.

It is unclear why Hong Saint decided to do so by burning close personal relationships between the two families returning for decades.

Many are guilty of polytongarne for talking with Huun Senar, she seemed to believe that he could solve her differences, addressing his friendship with his father, former Prime Minister Taxin Shinovitra.

In the past, this friendship used toxin opponents to charge it for putting Cambodia’s interests above what in Thailand.

In 2014, when the government headed by Tsin Ingluk’s sister was removed by a military coup, Hong Saint allowed the results of his supporters to look for a shrine in Cambodia.

Both countries also cooperated in more shadow areas.

Last November, Thailand sent six Cambodian dissidents together with a young child, back to Cambodia, where they were immediately imprisoned. All were recognized by the UN as refugees.

In 2020, a young Thai activist who fled Cambodia, Vancharm Satsaxit, was abducted and disappeared, and was assumed by Thai operatives.

And the January blow from the Cambodian opposition leader in the Brod -day light in Bangkok was also considered by activists as a result of this understanding between the security services of the two countries.

Against this background, the stratum leak of the polythants appears to have caught the Shinovitra family completely out of security.

The answers are both such and poetting. This has led to an increasing war between the two countries.

But it’s more than just words.

Thailand police have also started investigating the powerful business business figures that are allegedly related to gambling and frauds, while billions of dollars have stopped.

At the border itself, there is an increased risk of more serious contractions between the two armies.

But instead of retreating, Hun Sen Cambodia seems to have jumped up the opportunity to increase the rhetoric against Thailand and in particular, the Shinitra family.

He claims that he has secret documents that would charge toxin – the documents he claims can even prove that he has insulted the monarchy, a crime that comes with a great imprisonment in Thailand.

The Thai government replied, expelled on Wednesday by Ambassador Cambodia and reminding his own messenger, creating the basis for the last confrontation.

As long as none of the side looks ready to retreat back. In both countries, there is no leadership with the power and confidence.

Prime Minister Hong Monet, Cambodia has an inexperienced son of a former strongman who does not yet have his own authority, while his father Huna Hay also has a man who seems ready to push this conflict to burn his own nationalist powers.

On the Thai side, the government of a shaky coalition, focused on the toxin party, is dealing with a congestive economy and is threatening punitive tariffs in the United States. This cannot afford to show weakness in Cambodia.

Cambodia also deals with the fighting economy.

He has never been cured of pandemic and tourism – a pillar of his economy – suffered from the absence of visitors to the Chinese who remain in the side of fear of stealing and forced to work in the center of the scam.

And – as in Thailand – there is now a threat of punishment of tariffs in the United States, which further influence the economy.

But both countries survived politicians in Hong -Sen and toxin, which can almost certainly, when they are both ready, find a way out.

We also need to find out if other ASEAN members weigh in this conflict and try to convince both countries to de -escalate.

Initially, this was the main goal of ASEAN – to avoid conflicts among its members – and this will be a priority for some ASEAN countries at the moment to help these two countries resolve the conflict.

At this point, it remains a mystery why Hong Saint decided to burn this friendship and ignite this conflict.

Perhaps this year it was Thailand’s decision to put pressure on the scams, or the ambitions of the toxin to legalize gambling, threatening Cambodia’s own profitable industry.

Or maybe there was something easier: the Machiaveel’s step by one of the most broken political those who survived in Asia to abandon an ally in a toxin who lost most of his influence in Thailand, while burning his nationalist powers in the eyes of his own people.