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On June 17, 2025, the smoke -ray from the refinery after the Israeli strike on the Iran Teheron.
Atta Kenare | AFP | Gets the image
Analysts are struggling to predict the extent to Israel and the Iranian conflict affecting oil prices.
Israel An unexpected attack On Friday, Iran’s military and nuclear infrastructure was accompanied by five days of the spiral war between regional enemies.
US President Donald Trump on Tuesday called for ‘Unconditional surrender“From Tehran’s patience Washington wore lean. In return, the High leader of Iran Ayatollah Ali Homena threatened The US with “irreparable damage” in the case of military intervention, NBC News said.
Energy markets weigh the likelihood of direct US involvement in the conflict, as well as the potential for serious disruptions on supply-personal scenario Highly strategic shed mountain This binds the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman.
John Evans, an analyst of the PVM oil broker, said on Wednesday that in recent days the “blanket” has descended into the oil markets.
“Our market is located in a world where missile exchanges are commonplace, but cynicism, which is normal, should not yet set out of how easy the situation can arise,” Evans said in a research note.
Iran’s permanent attacks with ballistic missiles to Israel are seen from Tel -Vaviv, Israel on June 17, 2025. Iran resumed ballistic missile operations in response to Israel’s attacks.
Anadolu | Anadolu | Gets the image
A refinery complex in Israeli oil Sustainable damage from the Iranian attack earlier this week and Israeli aija On the field of South Pars, the world’s largest gas field pushed Tehran to partially suspend production. The southern Parso gas field is divided between Iran and Qatar.
“The situation is as fluent as the main product, which it is mostly affected, and although there is brotherly,” your assumption as) as my “in the future price of guessing, positioning at least will remain at least in defense,” Evans PVM said.
The main executives of oil companies Total energy. Shelland Enquest said CNBC on Tuesday that further attacks on critical energy infrastructure may have serious consequences for global offer and prices.
“It’s Roulette”
Oil prices that have jumped in recent days have expanded the profit on Wednesday.
International benchmark Brent Raw futures from August delivery traded 0.3% above $ 76.69 a barrel at 14:02 in London. Us Intermediate Western Texas Meanwhile, futures from July delivery traded 0.5% at $ 75.25 a barrel.
At the leuconer, the founder of the Clean Energy Transition investment firm, described the situation for the oil markets on the eve of Israel’s attack on Iran last week as “bad”, given the rich growth of supply from OPEC and non-OPEC manufacturers.
“I am increasingly convinced that we are heading for the 2014/2020 dollar dollars to remove Capex and start a new cycle. In fact, the current conflict makes this result even more likely when () the conflict is over because the manufacturers produce and hed as much as they can,”-said the leuineer in the note.
“Although this happens, it’s a roulette. We have a $ 10 risk prize (a barrel) in a price that rightly, given that it clearly has some breaks (mostly export of Iran and some lower loads on tankers),” he added.
What’s next at oil prices?
Going forward, Stephen Shark, editor of the Schork report, said on Wednesday that a significant escalation in the Israeli-Iran conflict could push oil prices much higher.
“We are now kind of stabilization. I think we are waiting for the next header and indeed I think everyone who doesn’t thinkAccess to the Middle East“
“We are now faced with the biggest threat to oil markets because Iraq has invaded Kuwait in 1990 and perhaps even greater than the 1974 Arab oil embargo,” he added.
Shark said that in the next five weeks about 5% of the oil rises to 103 dollars a barrel, with a much greater chance of taking off up to $ 160 a barrel by the end of the summer, when the Gulf is seriously broken.
