What are the worst scenarios?

So far, the fight between Israel and Iran seems to be limited by two countries. The United Nations and other places have a widespread call for restraint.

But what if they fall into the deaf ears? What if the struggle is escalai and expanding?

Here are just a few possible, worst scenarios.

With all the refusal of the United States, Iran clearly believes that the US forces approved and at least silently supported Israel’s attacks.

Iran could get into the US target in the Middle East – for example, special forces camps in Iraq, military bases in the Persian Gulf and diplomatic missions in the region. Iranian proxy – Hamas and Hezbollah – can be significantly reduced, but its supporting militias in Iraq remain armed and intact.

The US was afraid that such attacks were an opportunity and withdrawn some staff. In its public reports, the United States firmly warned Iran of the consequences of any attacks on US purposes.

What could happen when an American citizen died, say, Tel -Vavve or elsewhere?

Donald Trump may be forced to act. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has long been accused of dragging the United States to help him defeat Iran.

Military analysts say only in the US has bombers and bunker bombs that can penetrate into the deepest Iranian nuclear facilities, especially Fordow.

Trump promised his district that he would not start the so -called “forever wars” in the Middle East. But equally, many Republicans support both the Israeli government and its opinion that it is time to look for changes in Tehran.

But if America became an active participant in the struggle, it would be a huge escalation with a long, potentially devastating tail.

If Iran has not damaged the well -protected Israeli military and other purposes, then it can always target its softer missiles in the Persian Gulf, especially with countries that Iran has assisted and supported its enemies for many years.

The region has many energy and infrastructure goals. Remember that Iran was accused of Saudi Arabia’s oil field in 2019, and Houthi’s proxies reached the UAE in 2022.

Since then, there has been reconciliation between Iran and some countries of the region.

But these countries take part in the US Air Force Base. Some also – restrained – helped protect Israel from Iranian missile attack last year.

If in the Gulf of Persian, he may also require US governors to come to his defense as well as Israel.

What if an Israeli attack fails? What if Iran’s nuclear facilities are too deep, too well protected? What if its 400 kg 60% of the uranium-nuclear fuel, which is a few steps from the full weapon level, is enough for ten bombs or so-not destroyed?

It is believed that it can be hidden deep in secret mines. Israel may have killed some nuclear scientists, but no bombs can destroy the know -how Iran’s experience.

What if Israel’s attack convinces Iran’s leadership that its only way of containing further attacks is to strive for nuclear capacity as fast as it can?

What if these new military leaders at the table are tougher and less careful than their dead predecessors?

At least it can force Israel to further attacks, potentially tying the region to a permanent round of strike and counter. Israelis has a tough phrase for this strategy; They call it a “grass”.

The price of oil is already flying.

What if Iran tried to close the Hormuz Strait, further limiting the oil movement?

What if – on the other hand of the Arabian Peninsula – Hussites in Yemen doubled their efforts to attack the Red Sea? This is the last rest of the so-called proxy in Iran with the results of unpredictability and high-risk appetite.

Many countries of the world are already suffering from a crisis of life. The rise in the cost of oil will add inflation to the global economic system, which is already cracked under the weight of Trump’s tariff war.

And we will not forget that one person who benefits from rising oil prices is President Putin of Russia, who suddenly see the billions of more dollars who flooded into the Kremlin goat to pay for his war against Ukraine.

What if Israel succeeded in its long -term purpose to compel the Islamic revolutionary regime in Iran?

Netanyahu claims that its main goal is to destroy Iran’s nuclear power. But yesterday he made it clear that his broader goal includes a change of regime.

He said “proud people of Iran” that his attack “cleared the way for you to reach your freedom” from what he called them “evil and depressing”.

A decrease in Iran’s government may resort to some in the region, especially some Israelis. But what kind of vacuum cleaner can leave? What are the unforeseen consequences? What would a civil conflict in Iran look like?

Many can remember what happened to Iraq and Libya when a strong centralized government was removed.

So much depends on how this war develops in the coming days.

How – and how difficult – Iran revenge? And what restraint – if any – can the United States render to Israel?

A lot will depend on these two questions.