Florida’s special election is left concerned by Republicans

Standing in front of a few dozen supporters in the Strip Center in Ocala, Florida, Monday night, Democratic Congress candidate Josh Weil made a forecast.

Mathematics teacher at the public school said that in less than 24 hours he was going to create history, turning the solid republican place in Congress – helping to take control of the House of Representatives from the Republicans.

“Their agenda of 2025 stops here,” he promised, wishing against President Donald Trump and Elon Musk to reduce public services and staff.

Just an hour earlier, at the Town Hall, Randy Finan, his republican opponent in a special election on Tuesday, had a similar message – although he justified it as a warning, not a promise.

“The Democrats are crazy,” he said. “They are going to do everything they need to stop Donald Trump’s agenda.”

Voters in the eastern half of the Central Florida, from Ocala to cities north of the Duton -Bich, are sent to the polling stations to fill the place released by Michael Waltz, elected Trump to become an advisor to national security. Recently, waltz caused media warriors after the unintentional added journalist to a high-level group chat about American strikes in Yemen.

Wals’ work may now be threatened that only one of the reasons for the competition on Tuesday for one of the 435 places at home is a national history.

The second is that Vail, despite working in the Trump area that carried more than 30 points in November last year, can just win. And if he does, the Democrats will take a big step closer to the majority in a narrow divided house.

Win or lose, the race can also serve as a barometer of voter motivation when Trump starts his second term-and offer hints for the political landscape until the average period of next year.

This is one of the two special elections in Florida on Tuesday. The second, in the Panhandl region in Florida, to determine the replacement of Matta Haez, the Congress of the Trump Firefighters, which originally chose to become the Attorney General before he abandoned the cloud violations of sexual rules and ethics allegations. The Republican is expected to win there.

But this is not the case. Weel raised about $ 10 million in the company donations, painting $ 1 million brought to Florida, Senator Florida.

According to a recent public opinion poll, Vail narrowly goes well. An internal poll has been reported to be a respected republican firm on 3.

This is enough to cause more in the national ranks than little anxiety.

“There is no excuse that the Republican does not win this race,” said Randy, a conservative activist based in Florida, who campaigned there for Trump in 2016 and 2024.

Mr. Ross added that the republican voters should understand that the fine will support Trump’s agenda in Congress – and Wayle would not.

To this end, some of the hardest party attackers entered to help. Last Thursday, Trump joined the Republican candidate for two telephone events. On Monday night, Congressman Florida Bayron Donald’s and Conservative commentator Ben Shapiro held their own event.

“Donald Trump’s agenda hangs with a thread,” Shapiro said. “This is an area that just can’t get into democratic hands.”

Tech Multlionaire Musk, a close ally of Trump, can personally campaign for the hot challenged Wisconsin Supreme Court race, but its Political Committee has sent more than $ 75,000 to support the fine in recent days. Other conservative groups followed this example, helping the exquisite level of financial conditions.

Particular concern is that special elections are held during the lower political activity and usually include only one race. According to Mr. Ross, they often lean toward the party with a hobby. For Republicans, the democratic show of force on Tuesday will be disturbing.

“You can’t just go to the name of the name in a special election,” he said. “You have to expel people to vote for you.”

Republican nervousness is the result of simple mathematics in the House of Representatives. Most of 218 to 213 in 435 places, the party cannot afford to lose any victorious elections – not to mention those that should be a plume.

While the Wil Victory will not be enough to turn control over the House, two currently vacant places are in safe democratic constituencies. If the results of these special elections are expected, the Democrats will be on the verge of control.

This may explain why the president announced on Friday that there is By shooting your choice of New York Congress Eliza Stefanics To become a US ambassador to the United Nations, despite the fact that she has officially dismissed her post. Veila’s victory on Tuesday will mean that the Republicans could not afford to lose the New York election to replace Stefanics.

Even before the vote on Tuesday, both Democrats and Republicans joke to create results in a better light for their party.

The conservatives downgraded the national consequences of the race and put the blame on Fine, who was accused of holding an unsuccessful campaign and won for granted.

“This is a reflection of a candidate who is running the race,” said Florida Governor Florida Ron Desantis about the obvious lack of productivity.

Meanwhile, the Democrats proclaim a victory – at least moral diversity.

“These are races that, under ordinary circumstances, should not be on political radar,” said the minority leader of the Democratic House Jeffreis last Monday. “The American people do not buy what Republicans sell.”

Many fans Weil on Monday night were heard, even if the candidate said the BBC that would win eight points.

“When we lose, but approach, moderate Republicans may notice,” said Baddy Oswald, a lawyer and a teacher. If they were worried that their party could lose a safe place, it added, they may feel warm and will be more willing to break with the president.

Eight years ago, after the stunning Presidential victory of Trump 2016, the Democrats sought comfort in special election races on the map. They pulled out some staggering, including the victory in the Senate Douga Jones in a deeply conservative alabama. In other races, for example, John Osaf’s applications in the suburban area of ​​Atlanta, the Democrat came simple.

These races made a high level of democratic enthusiasm, which led to the wave in the middle of the next year, when the party won 39 seats, returning the House of Representatives and putting the decisive end of Trump’s first legislative program.

Republicans, with convincing victories on Tuesday, want to defeat any chance of repeating history.

The Democrats, who participated in the time of harmonious discussion about the strategy and political priorities, would like Florida to return them to the winning column – or at least give them hope for the best days.